In the first quarter of 2025, a decline in demand for offices was observed with the impact of the decline in domestic demand on company turnover due to interest rates.
Especially after the pandemic, the expansionary monetary policy implemented after the pandemic and the low-interest loans and easy access to credit have maintained and even increased the mobility in the market. As in many sectors, prices have increased significantly in the real estate sector. Due to the tightening in supply in the office sector, rents have exceeded pre-pandemic levels.
In the second half of 2023, with the Central Bank's shift to a tight monetary policy with the main objective of reducing inflation, credit interest rates rose and access to credit became more difficult, leading to stagnation in prices.
In the period after the pandemic, especially in 2022 and 2023, quality office buildings in Istanbul were in high demand due to the postponed demand and caused a significant increase in rental levels in the following years. The first half of 2024 was a period of high demand and panic leasing transactions.
In the second half of 2024, the rate of rent increase and vacancy rate decelerated. In the last quarter, a flat outlook prevailed in the market. Along with the rising rents, the year 2024 provided the closing of the rent gap between the old tenant and the new tenant.
2025 yılı ilk 3 aylık dönemde gerçekleşen kira yenilemeleri, geçtiğimiz yıl yapılan kiralamalardaki yüksek kira bedeli ve enflasyonist ortamın da etkisiyle eski kiracıların kirası, yeni kiralama seviyesinin üstüne çıkması yılın ilk çeyreğinin en önemli olayı olarak karşımıza çıkmıştır. Geçtiğimiz yıl ilk çeyreğine göre işlem hacminde yaklaşık %50-55 oranın düşüş olmasını ve bu durumun etkisiyle kira seviyesi ve boşluk oranında yatay görünümün devam etmesini beklemekteyiz. Yeni kira seviyesindeki yatay görünüm, kira yenilemelerindeki kira bedellerinin daha yüksek olmasına olanak sağlamıştır.
In 2025 half year, we expect the rent level to remain the same, while the downward trend in vacancy rate will continue at a slower pace.
We see that new office investments are on the agenda due to the rise in rent levels and the limited supply in the office stock, and we expect new office investments to enter the market in the coming period.